30+mba-第57章
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support Tesco’s 3;263 stores as well it can; say; the 997 that Somerfield
has。 The former will have a lower cost base by virtue of having more
outlets to spread its costs over; as well as having more purchasing
power。
THE EXPERIENCE (OR LEARNING) CURVE
The fact that costs declined as the output volume of a product or service
increased; though well known earlier; was first developed as a usable
accounting process by T P Wright; an American aeronautical engineer;
in 1936。 His process became known as the cumulative average model
or Wright’s model。 Subsequently; models were developed by a team of
Strategy 265
researchers at Stanford; known as the unit time model or Crawford’s model;
and the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) popularized the process with its
experience curve; showing that each time the cumulative volume of doing
something – either making a product or delivering a service – doubled; the
unit cost dropped by a constant and predictable amount。 The reasons for
the cost drop include:
。 Repetition makes people more familiar with tasks and consequently
faster。
。 More efficient materials and equipment bee available from suppliers
themselves as their costs go down through the experience curve effect。
。 Organization; management and control procedures improve。
。 Engineering and production problems are solved。
BCG itself was founded in 1963 by Bruce D Henderson; a former Bible
salesman and engineering graduate from Vanderbilt University; who
le。。 the Harvard Business School 90 days before graduation to work for
Westinghouse Corporation。 From there he went on to head Arthur D Li。。le’s
management services unit before joining the Boston Safe Deposit and Trust
pany to start a consulting arm for the bank。 Naming this the experience
curve; it was the strategy tool that put BCG on the path to success and has
served it well ever since (Figure 12。1)。
The value of the experience curve as a strategic process is that it helps
a business predict future unit costs and gives a signal when costs fail to
drop at the historic rate; both vital pieces of information for firms pursuing
a cost leadership strategy。 Every industry has a different experience curve
that itself varies over time。 You can find out more about how to calculate the
Total lifetime units produced Cost per unit
2 4 8 16
10
8
6
Figure 12。1 The experience curve
266 The Thirty…Day MBA
curve for your industry on the Management And Accounting Web (h。。p://
maaw。info/LearningCurveSummary。htm); and the National Aeronautics
and Space Agency (h。。p://cost。jsc。nasa。gov/learn。html) provides a Learning
Curve Calculator。
DIFFERENTIATION
The key to differentiation is a deep understanding of what customers really
want and need and; more importantly; what they are prepared to pay more
for。 Apple’s opening strategy was based around a ‘fun’ operating system
based on icons; rather than the dull MS…DOS。 This belief was based on its
understanding that puter users were mostly young and wanted an intuitive
mand system; and the ‘graphical user interface’ delivered just that。
Apple has continued its differentiation strategy; but has added design and
fashion to ease of control in order to increase the ways in which it delivers
extra value。 Sony and BMW are also examples of differentiators。 Both have
distinctive and desirable differences in their products and neither they nor
Apple offers the lowest price in their respective industries; customers are
willing to pay extra for the idiosyncratic and prized differences embedded
in their products。
Differentiation doesn’t have to be confined to just the marketing arena;
nor does it always lead to success if the subject of that differentiation goes
out of fashion without much warning。 Northern Rock; the failed bank that
had to be nationalized to stay in business; thought its strategy of raising
most of the money it lent out in mortgages through the money markets was
a sure winner。 It allowed the bank to grow faster than its petitors; who
placed more reliance on depositors for their funds。 As long as interest rates
were low and the money market functioned smoothly; it worked。 But once
the differentiators that fuelled its growth were reversed; its business model
failed。
FOCUS
Focused strategy involves concentrating on serving a particular market or a
defined geographic region。 IKEA; for example; targets young; white…collar
workers as its prime customer segment; selling through 235 stores in more
than 30 countries。 Ingvar Kamprad; an entrepreneur from the Sm。land
province in southern Sweden; who founded the business in the late 1940s;
offers home furnishing products of good function and design at prices
young people can afford。 He achieves this by using simple cost…cu。。ing
solutions that do not affect the quality of products。
Warren Buffe。。; the world’s richest man; who knows a thing or two about
focus; bined with Mars to buy US chewing gum manufacturer Wrigley
Strategy 267
for 23bn (£11。6bn) in May 2008。 Chicago…based Wrigley; which launched
its Spearmint and Juicy Fruit gums in the 1890s; has specialized in chewing
gum ever since and consistently outperformed its more diversified petitors。
Wrigley is the only major consumer products pany to grow
fortably faster than the population in its markets and above the rate of
inflation。 Over the past decade or so; for example; other consumer products
panies have diversified。 Gille。。e moved into ba。。eries; used to drive
many of its products; by acquiring Duracell。 Nestlé bought Ralston Purina;
Dreyer’s; Ice Cream Partners and Chef America。 Both have trailed Wrigley’s
performance。
Businesses o。。en lose their focus over time and periodically have to rediscover
their core strategic purpose。 Procter & Gamble is an example of a
business that had to refocus to cure weak growth。 In 2000; the pany was
losing share in seven of its top nine categories; and had lowered earnings
expectations four times in two quarters。 This prompted the pany to
restructure and refocus on its core business: big brands; big customers and
big countries。 They sold off non…core businesses; establishing five global
business units with a closely focused product portfolio。
First…to…market fallacy
Gaining ‘first mover advantage’ are words used like a mantra to justify high
expenditure and a headlong rush into new strategic areas。 This concept is
one of the most enduring in business theory and practice。 Entrepreneurs
and established giants are always in a race to be first。 Research from the
1980s that shows that market pioneers have enduring advantages in distribution;
product…line breadth; product quality and; especially; market
share underscores this principle。
Beguiling though the theory of first mover advantage is; it is probably
wrong。 Gerard Tellis; of the University of Southern California; and Peter
Golder; of New York University’s Stern Business School; argued in their
book Will and Vision: How Lateers Grow to Dominate Markets (2001;
McGraw…Hill Inc。; United States) and subsequent research that previous
studies on the subject were deeply flawed。 In the first instance; earlier
studies were based on surveys of surviving panies and brands;
excluding all the pioneers that failed。 This helps some panies to
look as though they were first to market even when they were not。
Procter & Gamble (P&G) boasts that it created America’s disposablenappy
(diaper) business。 In fact a pany called Chux launched its
product a quarter of a century before P&G entered the market in 1961。
Also; the questions used to gather much of the data in earlier research were
at best ambiguous; and perhaps dangerously so。 For example; the term;
‘one of the pioneers in first developing such products or services;’ was
used as a proxy for ‘first to market’。 The authors emphasize their point by
268 The Thirty…Day MBA
listing popular misconceptions of who were the real pioneers across the
66 markets they analysed。 Online book sales – Amazon (wrong); Books。
(right) – Copiers; Xerox (wrong); IBM (right) – PCs; IBM/Apple (both
wrong); Micro Instrumentation Telemetry Systems (MITS) introduced its
PC the Altair; a 400 kit; in 1974; followed by Tandy Corporation (Radio
Shack) in 1977。
In fact the most pelling evidence from all the research was that nearly
half of all firms pursuing a first…to…market strategy were fated to fail; while
those following fairly close behind were three times as likely to succeed。
Tellis and Golder claim that the best strategy is to enter the market 19 years
a。。er pioneers; learn from their mistakes; benefit from their product and
market development and be more certain about customer preferences。
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
Aside from articulating the generic approach to business strategy; Porter’s
other major contribution to the field was what has bee known as the
Five Forces theory of industry structure (Figure 12。2)。 Porter postulated that
the five forces that drive petition in an industry have to be understood
as part of the process of choosing which of the three generic strategies to
pursue。 The forces he identified are:
。 Threat of substitution: Can customers buy something else instead of
your product? For example; Apple; and to a lesser extent Sony; have
laptop puters that are distinctive enough to make substitution
difficult。 Dell; on the other hand; faces intense petition from dozens
of other suppliers with near…identical products peting mostly on
price alone。
。 Threat of new entrants: If it is easy to enter your market; start…up
costs are low and there are no barriers to entry such as IP (intellectual
property) protection; then the threat is high。
。 Supplier power: The fewer the suppliers; usually the more powerful
they are。 Oil is a classic example; where less than a dozen countries
supply the whole market and consequently can set prices。
。 Buyer power: In the food market; for example; with just a few; powerful
supermarket buyers being supplied by thousands of much smaller
businesses; they are o。。en able to dictate terms。
。 Industry petition: The number and capability of petitors is one
determinant of a business’s power。 Few petitors with relatively
less a。。ractive products or services lower the intensity of rivalry in a
sector。 O。。en these sectors slip into oligopolistic (see also Chapter 7;
Economics) behaviour; preferring to collude rather than pete。
Strategy 269
You can see a video clip of Professor Porter discussing the Five Forces model
on the Harvard Business School website (h。。p://harvardbusinessonline。
hbsp。harvard。edu/hbrol/en/archive/archive。jhtml 》 Strategy and Execution
》 By Author P 》 The Five petitive Forces that Shape petition)。
SHAPING STRATEGY – TOOLS AND
TECHNIQUES
While Porter’s Five Forces approach to strategy formulation is; as far as
business schools are concerned at least; the standard starting point; there
are a number of other tools that an MBA needs to be familiar with。 Some
pre…date Porter; some overlap; while others home in on specific issues。 Like
many such tools; they overlap with those