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found¡¡among¡¡these¡¡remains¡£¡¡But¡¡it¡¡is¡¡only¡¡recently¡¡that¡¡the
admirably¡¡conceived¡¡and¡¡most¡¡thoroughly¡¡and¡¡patiently¡¡worked¡out
investigations¡¡of¡¡Professor¡¡Marsh¡¡have¡¡given¡¡us¡¡a¡¡just¡¡idea¡¡of
the¡¡vast¡¡fossil¡¡wealth£»¡¡and¡¡of¡¡the¡¡scientific¡¡importance£»¡¡of
these¡¡deposits¡£¡¡I¡¡have¡¡had¡¡the¡¡advantage¡¡of¡¡glancing¡¡over¡¡the
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my¡¡knowledge¡¡extends£»¡¡there¡¡is¡¡no¡¡collection¡¡from¡¡any¡¡one¡¡region
and¡¡series¡¡of¡¡strata¡¡comparable£»¡¡for¡¡extent£»¡¡or¡¡for¡¡the¡¡care
with¡¡which¡¡the¡¡remains¡¡have¡¡been¡¡got¡¡together£»¡¡or¡¡for¡¡their
scientific¡¡importance£»¡¡to¡¡the¡¡series¡¡of¡¡fossils¡¡which¡¡he¡¡has
deposited¡¡there¡£¡¡This¡¡vast¡¡collection¡¡has¡¡yielded¡¡evidence
bearing¡¡upon¡¡the¡¡question¡¡of¡¡the¡¡pedigree¡¡of¡¡the¡¡horse¡¡of¡¡the
most¡¡striking¡¡character¡£¡¡It¡¡tends¡¡to¡¡show¡¡that¡¡we¡¡must¡¡look¡¡to
America£»¡¡rather¡¡than¡¡to¡¡Europe£»¡¡for¡¡the¡¡original¡¡seat¡¡of¡¡the
equine¡¡series£»¡¡and¡¡that¡¡the¡¡archaic¡¡forms¡¡and¡¡successive
modifications¡¡of¡¡the¡¡horse's¡¡ancestry¡¡are¡¡far¡¡better¡¡preserved
here¡¡than¡¡in¡¡Europe¡£
Professor¡¡Marsh's¡¡kindness¡¡has¡¡enabled¡¡me¡¡to¡¡put¡¡before¡¡you¡¡a
diagram£»¡¡every¡¡figure¡¡in¡¡which¡¡is¡¡an¡¡actual¡¡representation¡¡of
some¡¡specimen¡¡which¡¡is¡¡to¡¡be¡¡seen¡¡at¡¡Yale¡¡at¡¡this¡¡present¡¡time
£¨Fig¡£¡¡9£©¡£
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The¡¡succession¡¡of¡¡forms¡¡which¡¡he¡¡has¡¡brought¡¡together¡¡carries¡¡us
from¡¡the¡¡top¡¡to¡¡the¡¡bottom¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Tertiaries¡£¡¡Firstly£»¡¡there¡¡is
the¡¡true¡¡horse¡£¡¡Next¡¡we¡¡have¡¡the¡¡American¡¡Pliocene¡¡form¡¡of¡¡the
horse¡¡£¨Pliohippus£©£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡conformation¡¡of¡¡its¡¡limbs¡¡it
presents¡¡some¡¡very¡¡slight¡¡deviations¡¡from¡¡the¡¡ordinary¡¡horse£»
and¡¡the¡¡crowns¡¡of¡¡the¡¡grinding¡¡teeth¡¡are¡¡shorter¡£¡¡Then¡¡comes¡¡the
Protohippus£»¡¡which¡¡represents¡¡the¡¡European
Hipparion£»¡¡having¡¡one¡¡large¡¡digit¡¡and¡¡two¡¡small¡¡ones¡¡on
each¡¡foot£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡general¡¡characters¡¡of¡¡the¡¡fore¡arm¡¡and¡¡leg¡¡to
which¡¡I¡¡have¡¡referred¡£¡¡But¡¡it¡¡is¡¡more¡¡valuable¡¡than¡¡the¡¡European
Hipparion¡¡for¡¡the¡¡reason¡¡that¡¡it¡¡is¡¡devoid¡¡of¡¡some¡¡of¡¡the
peculiarities¡¡of¡¡that¡¡formpeculiarities¡¡which¡¡tend¡¡to¡¡show
that¡¡the¡¡European¡¡Hipparion¡¡is¡¡rather¡¡a¡¡member¡¡of¡¡a
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which¡¡corresponds¡¡pretty¡¡nearly¡¡with¡¡the¡¡Anchitherium¡¡of
Europe¡£¡¡It¡¡presents¡¡three¡¡complete¡¡toesone¡¡large¡¡median¡¡and
two¡¡smaller¡¡lateral¡¡ones£»¡¡and¡¡there¡¡is¡¡a¡¡rudiment¡¡of¡¡that¡¡digit£»
which¡¡answers¡¡to¡¡the¡¡little¡¡finger¡¡of¡¡the¡¡human¡¡hand¡£
The¡¡European¡¡record¡¡of¡¡the¡¡pedigree¡¡of¡¡the¡¡horse¡¡stops¡¡here£»
in¡¡the¡¡American¡¡Tertiaries£»¡¡on¡¡the¡¡contrary£»¡¡the¡¡series¡¡of
ancestral¡¡equine¡¡forms¡¡is¡¡continued¡¡into¡¡the¡¡Eocene¡¡formations¡£
An¡¡older¡¡Miocene¡¡form£»¡¡termed¡¡Mesohippus£»¡¡has¡¡three¡¡toes
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little¡¡finger£»¡¡and¡¡three¡¡toes¡¡behind¡£¡¡The¡¡radius¡¡and¡¡ulna£»¡¡the
tibia¡¡and¡¡the¡¡fibula£»¡¡are¡¡distinct£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡short¡¡crowned¡¡molar
teeth¡¡are¡¡anchitherioid¡¡in¡¡pattern¡£
But¡¡the¡¡most¡¡important¡¡discovery¡¡of¡¡all¡¡is¡¡the¡¡Orohippus£»
which¡¡comes¡¡from¡¡the¡¡Eocene¡¡formation£»¡¡and¡¡is¡¡the¡¡oldest¡¡member
of¡¡the¡¡equine¡¡series£»¡¡as¡¡yet¡¡known¡£¡¡Here¡¡we¡¡find¡¡four¡¡complete
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developed¡¡ulna£»¡¡a¡¡well¡developed¡¡fibula£»¡¡and¡¡short¡crowned
grinders¡¡of¡¡simple¡¡pattern¡£
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evident¡¡that£»¡¡so¡¡far¡¡as¡¡our¡¡present¡¡knowledge¡¡extends£»¡¡the
history¡¡of¡¡the¡¡horse¡type¡¡is¡¡exactly¡¡and¡¡precisely¡¡that¡¡which
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evolution¡£¡¡And¡¡the¡¡knowledge¡¡we¡¡now¡¡possess¡¡justifies¡¡us
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find£»¡¡first£»¡¡a¡¡form¡¡with¡¡four¡¡complete¡¡toes¡¡and¡¡a¡¡rudiment¡¡of
the¡¡innermost¡¡or¡¡first¡¡digit¡¡in¡¡front£»¡¡with£»¡¡probably£»¡¡a
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complete£»¡¡until¡¡we¡¡come¡¡to¡¡the¡¡five¡toed¡¡animals£»¡¡in¡¡which£»¡¡if
the¡¡doctrine¡¡of¡¡evolution¡¡is¡¡well¡¡founded£»¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡series¡¡must
have¡¡taken¡¡its¡¡origin¡£
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An¡¡inductive¡¡hypothesis¡¡is¡¡said¡¡to¡¡be¡¡demonstrated¡¡when¡¡the
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at¡¡the¡¡present¡¡time£»¡¡rests¡¡upon¡¡exactly¡¡as¡¡secure¡¡a¡¡foundation
as¡¡the¡¡Copernican¡¡theory¡¡of¡¡the¡¡motions¡¡of¡¡the¡¡heavenly¡¡bodies
did¡¡at¡¡the¡¡time¡¡of¡¡its¡¡promulgation¡£¡¡Its¡¡logical¡¡basis¡¡is
precisely¡¡of¡¡the¡¡same¡¡characterthe¡¡coincidence¡¡of¡¡the¡¡observed
facts¡¡with¡¡theoretical¡¡requirements¡£
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conclusions¡¡which¡¡I¡¡have¡¡just¡¡indicated£»¡¡is¡¡the¡¡supposition¡¡that
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separate¡¡epochs¡¡of¡¡time£»¡¡and£»¡¡I¡¡repeat£»¡¡that¡¡of¡¡such¡¡an
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evidence£»¡¡and£»¡¡assuredly£»¡¡so¡¡far¡¡as¡¡I¡¡know£»¡¡there¡¡is¡¡none¡¡which
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sports¡¡of¡¡nature£»¡¡or¡¡special¡¡creations£»¡¡intendedas¡¡I¡¡heard
suggested¡¡the¡¡other¡¡dayto¡¡test¡¡our¡¡faith¡£
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vast¡¡period¡¡of¡¡time£»¡¡while¡¡the¡¡duration¡¡of¡¡life¡¡upon¡¡the¡¡earth
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familiar¡¡with¡¡those¡¡conclusions£»¡¡inasmuch¡¡as¡¡some¡¡years¡¡ago£»
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it¡¡appeared¡¡to¡¡me£»¡¡they¡¡lacked¡¡complete¡¡and¡¡thorough
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the¡¡doctrine¡¡of¡¡evolutionsupposing¡¡that¡¡to¡¡be¡¡provedI¡¡desire
to¡¡be¡¡informed£»¡¡what¡¡is¡¡the¡¡foundation¡¡for¡¡the¡¡statement¡¡that
evolution¡¡does¡¡require¡¡so¡¡great¡¡a¡¡time£¿¡¡The¡¡biologist¡¡knows
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forms¡¡which¡¡I¡¡have¡¡described¡¡to¡¡you¡¡occur£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡order¡¡stated£»
in¡¡the¡¡Tertiary¡¡formations¡£¡¡But¡¡I¡¡have¡¡not¡¡the¡¡slightest¡¡means
of¡¡guessing¡¡whether¡¡it¡¡took¡¡a¡¡million¡¡of¡¡years£»¡¡or¡¡ten¡¡millions£»
or¡¡a¡¡hundred¡¡millions£»¡¡or¡¡a¡¡thousand¡¡millions¡¡of¡¡years£»¡¡to¡¡give
rise¡¡to¡¡that¡¡series¡¡of¡¡changes¡£¡¡A¡¡biologist¡¡has¡¡no¡¡means¡¡of
arriving¡¡at¡¡any¡¡conclusion¡¡as¡¡to¡¡the¡¡amount¡¡of¡¡time¡¡which¡¡may¡¡be
needed¡¡for¡¡a¡¡certain¡¡quantity¡¡of¡¡organic¡¡change¡£¡¡He¡¡takes¡¡his
time¡¡from¡¡the¡¡geologist¡£¡¡The¡¡geologist£»¡¡considering¡¡the¡¡rate¡¡at
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the¡¡Tertiary¡¡formations¡¡required¡¡500£»000£»000¡¡years¡¡for¡¡their
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take¡¡that¡¡as¡¡a¡¡measure¡¡of¡¡the¡¡duration¡¡of¡¡the¡¡evolution¡¡of¡¡the
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process£»¡¡and¡¡requires¡¡a¡¡great¡¡deal¡¡of¡¡time¡£¡¡But¡¡suppose£»¡¡now£»
that¡¡an¡¡astronomer¡¡or¡¡a¡¡physicistfor¡¡instance£»¡¡my¡¡friend¡¡Sir
William¡¡Thomsontells¡¡me¡¡that¡¡my¡¡geological¡¡authority¡¡is¡¡quite
wrong£»¡¡and¡¡that¡¡he¡¡has¡¡weighty¡¡evidence¡¡to¡¡show¡¡that¡¡life¡¡could
not¡¡possibly¡¡have¡¡existed¡¡upon¡¡the¡¡surface¡¡of¡¡the¡¡earth
500£»000£»000¡¡years¡¡ago£»¡¡because¡¡the¡¡earth¡¡would¡¡have¡¡then¡¡been
too¡¡hot¡¡to¡¡allow¡¡of¡¡life£»¡¡my¡¡reply¡¡is£º¡¡¡¨That¡¡is¡¡not¡¡my¡¡affair£»
settle¡¡that¡¡with¡¡the¡¡geologist£»¡¡and¡¡when¡¡you¡¡have¡¡come¡¡to¡¡an
agreement¡¡among¡¡yourselves¡¡I¡¡will¡¡adopt¡¡your¡¡conclusion¡£¡¨
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monstrous¡¡that£»¡¡having¡¡taken¡¡our¡¡time¡¡from¡¡the¡¡physical
philosopher's¡¡clock£»¡¡the¡¡physical¡¡philosopher¡¡should¡¡turn¡¡round
upon¡¡us£»¡¡and¡¡say¡¡we¡¡are¡¡too¡¡fast¡¡or¡¡too¡¡slow¡£¡¡What¡¡we¡¡desire¡¡to
know¡¡is£»¡¡is¡¡it¡¡a¡¡fact¡¡that¡¡evolution¡¡took¡¡place£¿¡¡As¡¡to¡¡the
amount¡¡of¡¡time¡¡which¡¡evolution¡¡may¡¡have¡¡occupied£»¡¡we¡¡are¡¡in¡¡the
hands¡¡of¡¡the¡¡physicist¡¡and¡¡the¡¡astronomer£»¡¡whose¡¡business¡¡it¡¡is
to¡¡deal¡¡with¡¡those¡¡questions¡£
I¡¡have¡¡now£»¡¡ladies¡¡and¡¡gentlemen£»¡¡arrived¡¡at¡¡the¡¡conclusion¡¡of
the¡¡task¡¡which¡¡I¡¡set¡¡before¡¡myself¡¡when¡¡I¡¡undertook¡¡to¡¡deliver
these¡¡lectures¡£¡¡My¡¡purpose¡¡has¡¡been£»¡¡not¡¡to¡¡enable¡¡those¡¡among
you¡¡who¡¡have¡¡paid¡¡no¡¡attention¡¡to¡¡these¡¡subjects¡¡before£»¡¡to
leave¡¡this¡¡room¡¡in¡¡a¡¡condition¡¡to¡¡decide¡¡upon¡¡the¡¡validity¡¡or
the¡¡invalidity¡¡of¡¡the¡¡hypothesis¡¡of¡¡evolution£»¡¡but¡¡I¡¡have
desired¡¡to¡¡put¡¡before¡¡you¡¡the¡¡principles¡¡upon¡¡which¡¡all
hypotheses¡¡respecting¡¡the¡¡history¡¡of¡¡Nature¡¡must¡¡be¡¡judged£»
and¡¡furthermore£»¡¡to¡¡make¡¡apparent¡¡the¡¡nature¡¡of¡¡the¡¡evidence¡¡and
the¡¡amount¡¡of¡¡cogency¡¡which¡¡is¡¡to¡¡be¡¡expected¡¡and¡¡may¡¡be
obtained¡¡from¡¡it¡£¡¡To¡¡this¡¡end£»¡¡I¡¡have¡¡not¡¡hesitated¡¡to¡¡regard
you¡¡as¡¡genuine¡¡students¡¡and¡¡persons¡¡desirous¡¡of¡¡knowing¡¡the
truth¡£¡¡I¡¡have¡¡not¡¡shrunk¡¡from¡¡taking¡¡you¡¡through¡¡long
discussions£»¡¡that¡¡I¡¡fear¡¡may¡¡have¡¡sometimes¡¡tried¡¡your¡¡patience£»
and¡¡I¡¡have¡¡inflicted¡¡upon¡¡you¡¡details¡¡which¡¡were¡¡indispensable£»
but¡¡which¡¡may¡¡well¡¡have¡¡been¡¡wearisome¡£¡¡But¡¡I¡¡shall¡¡rejoiceI
shall¡¡consider¡¡that¡¡I¡¡have¡¡done¡¡you¡¡the¡¡greatest¡¡service¡¡which
it¡¡was¡¡in¡¡my¡¡power¡¡to¡¡doif¡¡I¡¡have¡¡thus¡¡convinced¡¡you¡¡that¡¡the
great¡¡question¡¡which¡¡we¡¡have¡¡been¡¡discussing¡¡is¡¡not¡¡one¡¡to¡¡be
dealt¡¡with¡¡by¡¡rhetorical¡¡flourishes£»¡¡or¡¡by¡¡loose¡¡and¡¡superficial
talk£»¡¡but¡¡that¡¡it¡¡requires¡¡the¡¡keen¡¡attention¡¡of¡¡the¡¡trained
intellect¡¡and¡¡the¡¡patience¡¡of¡¡the¡¡accurate¡¡observer¡£
When¡¡I¡¡commenced¡¡this¡¡series¡¡of¡¡lectures£»¡¡I¡¡did¡¡not¡¡think¡¡it
necessary¡¡to¡¡preface¡¡them¡¡with¡¡a¡¡prologue£»¡¡such¡¡as¡¡might¡¡be
expected¡¡from¡¡a¡¡stranger¡¡and¡¡a¡¡foreigner£»¡¡for¡¡during¡¡my¡¡brief
stay¡¡in¡¡your¡¡country£»¡¡I¡¡have¡¡found¡¡it¡¡very¡¡hard¡¡to¡¡believe¡¡that
a¡¡stranger¡¡could¡¡be¡¡possessed¡¡of¡¡so¡¡many¡¡friends£»¡¡and¡¡almost
harder¡¡that¡¡a¡¡foreigner¡¡could¡¡express