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21
These¡¡examplesand¡¡there¡¡are¡¡many¡¡more¡¡of¡¡a¡¡similar¡¡kindare¡¡enough£»¡¡I¡¡think£»¡¡to¡¡illustrate¡¡this¡¡class¡¡of¡¡premonitions¡£¡¡The¡¡problem¡¡in¡¡these¡¡cases¡¡is¡¡simpler¡¡than¡¡when¡¡it¡¡relates¡¡to¡¡fruitless¡¡warnings£»¡¡at¡¡least¡¡it¡¡is¡¡simpler¡¡so¡¡long¡¡as¡¡we¡¡do¡¡not¡¡bring¡¡into¡¡discussion¡¡the¡¡question¡¡of¡¡spirits£»¡¡of¡¡unknown¡¡intelligences£»¡¡or¡¡of¡¡an¡¡actual¡¡knowledge¡¡of¡¡the¡¡future£»¡¡otherwise¡¡the¡¡same¡¡difficulty¡¡reappears¡¡and¡¡the¡¡warning£»¡¡which¡¡this¡¡time¡¡seems¡¡efficacious£»¡¡is¡¡in¡¡reality¡¡just¡¡as¡¡vain¡£¡¡In¡¡fact£»¡¡the¡¡mysterious¡¡entity¡¡which¡¡knows¡¡that¡¡the¡¡traveler¡¡will¡¡go¡¡to¡¡the¡¡water's¡¡edge£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡wheel¡¡will¡¡be¡¡on¡¡the¡¡point¡¡of¡¡leaving¡¡the¡¡axle£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡copper¡¡will¡¡explode£»¡¡or¡¡that¡¡the¡¡promontory¡¡will¡¡fall¡¡at¡¡a¡¡precise¡¡moment£»¡¡must¡¡at¡¡the¡¡same¡¡time¡¡know¡¡that¡¡the¡¡traveler¡¡will¡¡not¡¡take¡¡the¡¡last¡¡fatal¡¡step£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡carriage¡¡will¡¡not¡¡be¡¡overturned£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡copper¡¡will¡¡not¡¡hurt¡¡anybody¡¡and¡¡that¡¡the¡¡canoe¡¡will¡¡pull¡¡away¡¡from¡¡the¡¡promontory¡£¡¡It¡¡is¡¡inadmissible¡¡that£»¡¡seeing¡¡one¡¡thing£»¡¡it¡¡will¡¡not¡¡see¡¡the¡¡other£»¡¡since¡¡everything¡¡happens¡¡at¡¡the¡¡same¡¡point£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡course¡¡of¡¡the¡¡same¡¡second¡£¡¡Can¡¡we¡¡say¡¡that£»¡¡if¡¡it¡¡had¡¡not¡¡given¡¡warning£»¡¡the¡¡little¡¡saving¡¡movement¡¡would¡¡not¡¡have¡¡been¡¡executed£¿¡¡How¡¡can¡¡we¡¡imagine¡¡a¡¡future¡¡which£»¡¡at¡¡one¡¡and¡¡the¡¡same¡¡time£»¡¡has¡¡parts¡¡that¡¡are¡¡steadfast¡¡and¡¡others¡¡that¡¡are¡¡not£¿¡¡If¡¡it¡¡is¡¡foreseen¡¡that¡¡the¡¡promontory¡¡will¡¡fall¡¡and¡¡that¡¡the¡¡traveler¡¡will¡¡escape£»¡¡thanks¡¡to¡¡the¡¡supernatural¡¡warning£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡necessarily¡¡foreseen¡¡that¡¡the¡¡warning¡¡will¡¡be¡¡given£»¡¡and£»¡¡if¡¡so£»¡¡what¡¡is¡¡the¡¡point¡¡of¡¡this¡¡futile¡¡comedy£¿¡¡I¡¡see¡¡no¡¡reasonable¡¡explanation¡¡of¡¡it¡¡in¡¡the¡¡spiritist¡¡or¡¡spiritualistic¡¡theory£»¡¡which¡¡postulates¡¡a¡¡complete¡¡knowledge¡¡of¡¡the¡¡future£»¡¡at¡¡least¡¡at¡¡a¡¡settled¡¡point¡¡and¡¡moment¡£¡¡On¡¡the¡¡other¡¡hand£»¡¡if¡¡we¡¡adhere¡¡to¡¡the¡¡theory¡¡of¡¡a¡¡subliminal¡¡consciousness£»¡¡we¡¡find¡¡there¡¡an¡¡explanation¡¡which¡¡is¡¡quite¡¡worthy¡¡of¡¡acceptation¡£¡¡This¡¡subliminal¡¡consciousness£»¡¡though£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡majority¡¡of¡¡cases£»¡¡it¡¡has¡¡no¡¡clear¡¡and¡¡comprehensive¡¡vision¡¡of¡¡the¡¡immediate¡¡future£»¡¡can¡¡nevertheless¡¡possess¡¡an¡¡intuition¡¡of¡¡imminent¡¡danger£»¡¡thanks¡¡to¡¡indications¡¡that¡¡escape¡¡our¡¡ordinary¡¡perception¡£¡¡It¡¡can¡¡also¡¡have¡¡a¡¡partial£»¡¡intermittent¡¡and¡¡so¡¡to¡¡speak¡¡flickering¡¡vision¡¡of¡¡the¡¡future¡¡event¡¡and£»¡¡if¡¡doubtful£»¡¡can¡¡risk¡¡giving¡¡an¡¡incoherent¡¡warning£»¡¡which£»¡¡for¡¡that¡¡matter£»¡¡will¡¡change¡¡nothing¡¡in¡¡that¡¡which¡¡already¡¡is¡£
22
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23
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